Tuesday, July 12, 2011

Merger Mania in the Brazilian Air Travel Market: A Net Positive

Valuentum submits:

As long-time followers of Valuentum know, we're not too fond of airline stocks. Essentially, we view them as merely a speculative bet on the trajectory of economic growth and the direction of jet fuel prices. But while the price of black gold remains largely out of airline executives' control, it's hard not to like the economic growth prospects of the Brazilian air travel market, which has been on a tear during the past several years thanks in part to heavy discounts on fares offered by low-cost carriers such as Gol (GOL). Plus, the 2014 World Cup and the 2016 Olympics, both to be held in Brazil, will serve as temporary and abrupt stimulants for air travel demand toward the middle of this decade. The "Gol Effect" as outlined below is quite remarkable ... and all of this expansion is despite the country's strained air travel infrastructure.

[Click all to enlarge]


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Joss Stone Majandra Delfino Maria Bello Jennifer Gareis Ashlee Simpson

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